Understanding Support Vector Machine Regression

Mathematical Formulation of SVM Regression

Overview

Support vector machine (SVM) analysis is a popular machine learning tool for classification and regression, first identified by Vladimir Vapnik and his colleagues in 1992[5]. SVM regression is considered a nonparametric technique because it relies on kernel functions.

Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox™ implements linear epsilon-insensitive SVM (ε-SVM) regression, which is also known as L1 loss. In ε-SVM regression, the set of training data includes predictor variables and observed response values. The goal is to find a function f(x) that deviates from yn by a value no greater than ε for each training point x, and at the same time is as flat as possible.

Linear SVM Regression: Primal Formula

Suppose we have a set of training data where xn is a multivariate set of N observations with observed response values yn.

To find the linear function

f(x)=xβ+b,

and ensure that it is as flat as possible, find f(x) with the minimal norm value (ββ). This is formulated as a convex optimization problem to minimize

J(β)=12ββ

subject to all residuals having a value less than ε; or, in equation form:

n:?yn(xnβ+b)?ε.

It is possible that no such function f(x) exists to satisfy these constraints for all points. To deal with otherwise infeasible constraints, introduce slack variables ξn and ξ*n for each point. This approach is similar to the “soft margin” concept in SVM classification, because the slack variables allow regression errors to exist up to the value of ξn and ξ*n, yet still satisfy the required conditions.

Including slack variables leads to the objective function, also known as the primal formula[5]:

J(β)=12ββ+CN?n=1(ξn+ξn),

subject to:

n:yn(xnβ+b)ε+ξnn:(xnβ+b)ynε+ξnn:ξn0n:ξn0.

The constant C is the box constraint, a positive numeric value that controls the penalty imposed on observations that lie outside the epsilon margin (ε) and helps to prevent overfitting (regularization). This value determines the trade-off between the flatness of f(x) and the amount up to which deviations larger than ε are tolerated.

The linear ε-insensitive loss function ignores errors that are within ε distance of the observed value by treating them as equal to zero. The loss is measured based on the distance between observed value y and the ε boundary. This is formally described by

Lε={0?yf(x)?εif ?yf(x)?εotherwise

Linear SVM Regression: Dual Formula

The optimization problem previously described is computationally simpler to solve in its Lagrange dual formulation. The solution to the dual problem provides a lower bound to the solution of the primal (minimization) problem. The optimal values of the primal and dual problems need not be equal, and the difference is called the “duality gap.” But when the problem is convex and satisfies a constraint qualification condition, the value of the optimal solution to the primal problem is given by the solution of the dual problem.

To obtain the dual formula, construct a Lagrangian function from the primal function by introducing nonnegative multipliers αn and α*n for each observation xn. This leads to the dual formula, where we minimize

L(α)=12N?i=1N?j=1(αiαi)(αjαj)xixj+εN?i=1(αi+αi)+N?i=1yi(αiαi)

subject to the constraints

N?n=1(αnαn)=0n:0αnCn:0αnC.

The β parameter can be completely described as a linear combination of the training observations using the equation

β=N?n=1(αnαn)xn.

The function used to predict new values depends only on the support vectors:

f(x)=N?n=1(αnαn)(xnx)+b. (1)

The Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) complementarity conditions are optimization constraints required to obtain optimal solutions. For linear SVM regression, these conditions are

n:αn(ε+ξnyn+xnβ+b)=0n:αn(ε+ξn+ynxnβb)=0n:ξn(Cαn)=0n:ξn(Cαn)=0.

These conditions indicate that all observations strictly inside the epsilon tube have Lagrange multipliers αn = 0 and αn* = 0. If either αn or αn* is not zero, then the corresponding observation is called a support vector.

The property Alpha of a trained SVM model stores the difference between two Lagrange multipliers of support vectors, αn – αn*. The properties SupportVectors and Bias store xn and b, respectively.

Nonlinear SVM Regression: Primal Formula

Some regression problems cannot adequately be described using a linear model. In such a case, the Lagrange dual formulation allows the previously-described technique to be extended to nonlinear functions.

Obtain a nonlinear SVM regression model by replacing the dot product x1x2 with a nonlinear kernel function G(x1,x2) = <φ(x1),φ(x2)>, where φ(x) is a transformation that maps x to a high-dimensional space. Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox provides the following built-in positive semidefinite kernel functions.

Kernel Name Kernel Function
Linear (dot product) G(xj,xk)=xjxk
Gaussian G(xj,xk)=exp(?xjxk?2)
Polynomial G(xj,xk)=(1+xjxk)q, where q is in the set {2,3,...}.

The Gram matrix is an 

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